I usually don't post about the upcoming games, because it only serves one purpose - to create a permanent record about just how stupid I am. But, I have to say this - I'm terrified of this week's spreads. I could honestly see getting zero games right.
Why? Just look at some of these games:
INDY -18.0 against Tennessee. 18 POINTS! There are a lot of NCAA games with lower spreads than that - and yet, Dallas won by approximately 30 last week. And this is in Indianapolis. But how do you take an 18-point spread with confidence?
NEW ENGLAND - 9.5 against Miami. This one is easier only because I have vowed not to bet on Miami until they actually do something this season, but that's still a rather large point spread for a team that may have been especially geared up last week and therefore poised for a letdown. In a straight pick 'em, I would take NE with zero worry - in fact, I'd guess they are a good survivor pick this week. But nine and a half points worries me.
All of the above games are teams that are sort of indistinguishable - with the possible exception that the Niners are clearly a better team than Oakland. I worry about that game only because it's a local rivalry and quite possible that the Raiders will view this game as their last chance to win all season.
My first go round through the picks had me taking all but two favored teams. That's simply not going to happen. So, it's back to the drawing board...
This is gonna get ugly.